Tehran, Oct 30, IRNA -- According to an energy expert, while Iran's
gas is well placed geographically and has a highly potential
competitive status in the gas market, the business is going to be
increasingly competitive and restricted worldwide.
The senior energy analyst at the Center for Global Energy Studies
in London, Julian Lee noted, "Countries around the world are now much
more aware of the need to monetize their gas resources, whereas in the
past many substantial oil producers used to flare their gas." There is
also a lot of exploration around the world for new gas resources.
"Iran's gas is well placed geographically to capitalize on the gas
industry, but so are many of its competitors, adding that while Iran
is not at any significant disadvantage over its rivals, but there
exists a highly competitive market for gas," he added.
Julian Lee believes that Iran has adopted looking first at its
domestic utilization of gas resources to meet its growing emerging
demands and to hopefully provide the basis for more diversified
economy, away from a reliance purely on export of hydrocarbons and
injection of gas into oil wells to boost the oil recovery.
"Iran has thus other alternatives for dealing with its gas, which
might be missing by some of its competitors," said Lee.
Then he referred to Iran's gas infrastructure which is much more
developed than that of other states of the Persian Gulf region.
The energy expert predicted that since new potential Liquefied
Natural Gas (LNG) markets are opening up in Europe, Iran's gas export
would go westwards rather than eastwards.
In reply to a question on whether Iran should single out certain
options in the gas industry among different projects for domestic
use, gas injection or export, he said, "Iran certainly has sufficient
gas resources to pursue different projects including pipe and LNG, gas
to liquid exports and meeting its domestic need simultaneously."
On the pipeline project for Iran's gas, he said Pakistan is the
most obvious and easiest market, but the question yet remained to be
answered is whether Pakistani market for imported gas is large enough
to support building of a dedicated pipeline, without being able to
supply India.
"It is quite clear that there are extremely political difficulties
with shipping gas to India via Pakistan," he added.
As for the LNG export, Julian Lee remarked that the capital costs
for the project is substantial, while there are certain advantages.
"In the case of LNG export, you are not necessarily dependent on
a single client and as more countries are beginning to look to
importing gas in the liquefied form, it is possible to diversify the
client base," he said.
About the gas to liquid (GTL) projects whose studies are underway
in the country, the energy expert said, "It is an attractive option
but is still relatively expensive, while the advantage is that it can
produce very high quality fuels with a market that exists at the
moment in western Europe and perhaps in Japan."
On the possibility of emergence of an international market for gas
mainly because of development of LNG spot market, he said that as the
volume of LNG increases, the opportunities for a truly international
market has greatly developed and more and more spot sales of LNG is
very likely to take place.
On a question about the practicality of using compressed natural
gas (CNG) as a fuel for vehicles, Lee referred to certain
environmental advantages of this type of fuel, but noted that it is
more suitable for fleet vehicles that travel along relatively short
distances and are generally refuelled from a central point, but its
use for private and specially small cars is much more complicated.
About the use of gas instead of oil, he believes that gas is a
very good fuel for stationary uses like power generation, but because
of its less dense nature compare to oil, it can be considered as a
good transportation fuel.
Lee believes that the transportation sector is, in fact, the last
bastion of the oil market.
He is among dozens of energy experts attending an international
experts meeting held in Tehran during the last two days sponsored by
the national Iranian gas company.