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Expert warns on immense damages of any quake higher than seven degrees in Tehran

An earthquake expert said in Tehran on Sunday that based on seismological studies carried out in Tehran, an earthquake comparable to the recent one that hit Japan will cause material losses higher than the gross domestic product (GDP), IRNA reported.

Speaking at a seminar on insurance coverage and earthquakes in Tehran, Farid Mehdian added that such tremor will cause close to 500,000 deaths, two million injuries and render six million homeless.

He added that an activation of 'Ray' faultline will cause 55 percent of Tehran buildings to be either destroyed or severely damaged.

He suggested an effective insurance policy ready to compensate for material damages will be immensely helpful in keeping business and social activities from coming to an abrupt halt.

A seismographer and researcher, Mehdi Zare, said here last week that several major faultlines have been identified in the suburb of Tehran including Eivanki, northern and southern Rey, Kahrizak and Mosha.

He told IRNA that the latest survey on the above faultlines show that they are likely to cause earthquakes exceeding six degrees on the open-ended Richter scale.

Turning to the faultline in northern Tehran and Mahdasht as the most active in Tehran province, he said that despite the information at hand, the current data and limited researches conducted so far are not sufficient to predict the time quakes are likely to occur.

"However, given the increased activity of other faultlines and the data currently available, it can be deducted that the faultlines in northern Tehran, Mahdasht and southern Karaj are active."

Zare, also a faculty member of the International Seismographic Research Center, said, "The quake which jolted Changoureh on June 22, 2002, resulted from strong jolts in a faultline which became active in 1962 and shook Boin Zahra.

... Payvand News - 6/8/03 ... --

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