By Jeffrey Young, VOA, Washington, D.C.
Israel's air force is second to none among the
countries in the Middle East, enabling the state to project power throughout the
region.
When a nation is small
and surrounded by states that have waged war against it in the past, a sharply
honed air force is a vital security asset and a means of deterrence. In major
conflicts like the 1967 and 1973 Arab-Israeli Wars, Israel's air force
demonstrated daring and capability. And today, many analysts say Israel's air
power can be projected far beyond the skies of Lebanon, where it is currently
operating nearly without challenge.
Technical
Superiority
Jane's Defence Weekly is a leading source of
information on nations and their military power. Jane's Middle East
analyst David Hartwell puts Israel's air force at the top.
"The Israeli
air force is certainly the best in the region. It's one of the best in the
world. They have the equipment. They have the technical know-how. They have the
tactics. Israel possesses a full range of guided weapons. They certainly have
radar-guided missiles, laser-guided missiles and TV-guided missiles as well. So
they possess a full range of capabilities," says Hartwell.
Hartwell and
other military analysts say that this edge has enabled Israel's air force to
engage and defeat much larger adversaries. It has also emboldened Israel to take
dramatic actions.
Lessons of Operation
Opera
One such mission took place in June, 1981. Eight
Israeli F-16 attack jets, protected by six F-15 fighters, streaked
eleven-hundred kilometers across Jordan and Saudi Arabia to bomb Iraq's Osirak
nuclear reactor in Operation Opera. The strike foiled Baghdad's efforts
to develop nuclear weapons, which Israeli leaders considered to be a deadly
threat.
Alex Bigham at the non-governmental Foreign Policy Centre in
London says that today, Israel remains willing to act
decisively.
"Clearly, the experience of the bombing of Osirak in
Iraq, the nuclear program there, shows that Israel is prepared to take
unilateral action against what it sees as threats to its security," says
Bigham.
The Israeli warplanes that flew the 1981 Osirak mission operated
close to the limits of their range. John Pike, head of the Washington-based
military analysis firm GlobalSecurity.org, says Israel now has special aircraft
that can reach another country with nuclear weapons ambitions.
"The
Israeli F-15 and F-16 fighter-bombers have one important difference from their
American counterparts. They're fitted with very large fuel tanks that enable
both of these aircraft to fly unrefueled all the way from Israel to Iran and
back. So it's clear that the Israelis have been laying the groundwork that would
enable them to strike W.M.D. [i.e., weapons of mass destruction] facilities in
Iran," says Pike.
Iran has repeatedly defied calls by the United Nations
and the international community to stop trying to build an atomic arsenal.
Additionally, Iran's President, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad has repeatedly called for
Israel's destruction.
The Sunday Times newspaper in London
reported last year that because of these factors, then Israeli Prime Minister
Ariel Sharon gave preliminary approval for a military strike against Iran if it
did not end its nuclear program. Israel denied that such approval had been
given. In the United States, former C.I.A. Director James Woolsey is one of
several analysts calling for the destruction of Iran's nuclear facilities.
Targets in Iran
But David Hartwell at Jane's Defence Weekly
says taking out Iran's nuclear program would be far more complicated than the
1981 attack on Iraq.
"Osirak was very, very simple. It was a very
clear-cut target [and] very easy to knock out. To do that in Iran would be very,
very difficult given the number of targets. You've got something like 20
[targets] all over Iran. So the Israelis would have to inflict enough damage in
one strike to disable the Iranian nuclear program," says Hartwell.
Many
analysts say Iran's nuclear reactor at Bushehr on the Persian Gulf coast
and Esfahan, where uranium enrichment is believed to be taking place, would be
top targets. Many military analysts say Iran is putting its nuclear weapons
research facilities in hardened underground bunkers. But those analysts say that
Israel has deep penetration "bunker buster" bombs capable of destroying such
targets.
While Israel may have the aircraft and weapons to attack Iran's
nuclear facilities, Michael O'Hanlon at The Brookings Institution in Washington
says getting there would be anything but simple.
"It's not a question of
just measuring the mileage from Israel to Iran. They're not going to get
permission from Saudi Arabia, I don't think. Going over Jordan is complicated.
They can try to sneak through Syrian airspace and then go through Iraqi
airspace, and perhaps they would be prepared to do that. But when you think
through all of the specifics here, I believe the Red Sea route would be the
best. But it would be a huge detour," says
O'Hanlon.
While such a route would be through international airspace,
the long distance over the Red Sea, around the Arabian Peninsula and up into the
Persian Gulf would require aerial refueling of attack aircraft to complete the
mission. But such a route would provide the greatest measure of surprise,
reducing Iran's ability to defend itself.
And Ivan Ulrich at the
Federation of American Scientists in Washington says Tehran could not mount much
of a defense.
"On paper, the Iranians have a lot of advanced fighter
planes. But they're having problems with spare parts [i.e. to keep those planes
flying]. So I don't think that there would be a robust defense from aircraft.
They do also have surface-to-air missiles. Most of them are out-of-date, and
probably could be jammed with modern technology," says Urlich.
Israel's
ability to project its air power is the greatest it has ever been. And many
analysts say the Israeli air force has become an even stronger deterrent to
aggression by other states, as well as a means to strike pre-emptively in the
face of what Israel sees as grave threats.