By Jalal Alavi
In an article published
by the Mail & Guardian Online on June 27, titled “
With the end of the
diplomatic phase in sight, what will the next step be? To be sure, the diplomatic phase, once
ended, must be followed by a punitive stage. Within the present framework of the
Security Council and in relation to
With the Bush
administration’s distrust of Iran’s nuclear programme and its seeming desire for
regime change in that country, there is a possibility that the US will, in due
time, detach itself from such time-consuming, collective efforts as those taking
place within a Security Council framework.
Leaving the political scene in about two years’ time and concerned that
the next administration might not be so willing to engage Iran, it is highly
likely that the Bush administration may be planning to hijack the impending
Security Council resolution on Iran as a platform from which to launch its third
“war on terror” in the Middle East.
This sort of a
The recent US-backed
Israeli attacks on
In light of the above discussion, one cannot but warn the US, its allies and, indeed, the entire international community that a fourth war in the region will truly devastate the Middle East as a whole and dampen the prospects of freedom and democracy in Iran for generations to come. This, of course, is not to mention the shocking effects that such a war will have on the world economy as well, which relies heavily on the stability of the price of oil. In this respect, another war in the region would perhaps drive the price of oil to an amount of more than $100 per barrel, which, according to some estimates, will be high enough to eventually trigger a worldwide depression (somewhat like that experienced in the 1930s).
Realising that such warnings have, in the past, fallen on deaf ears within a Bush administration driven by concerns for power, domination and narrow economic interests, it is up to the world community of ordinary citizens and progressive forces to confront potential US war plans against Iran or any other state in the Middle East, for that matter. Any shortcoming on our part in this respect will, forever, denigrate the nature of our humanity.
About the author:
Alavi is a sociologist and political commentator residing in
... Payvand News - 7/27/06 ... --