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5/12/06

Bali D-8 Summit Gives Iran Forum For Its Nuclear Cause

By Breffni O'Rourke

The formal aim of the summit on May 13 between eight big mainly Muslim nations is increased economic cooperation. Members of the D-8 group -- or "Developing 8" as they call themselves -- are meeting on the Indonesian island of Bali. Formed in 1997 on the initiative of then Turkish Prime Minister Necmettin Erbakan, the group comprises Pakistan, Turkey, Iran, Egypt, Indonesia, Bangladesh, Nigeria, and Malaysia. But this year's summit comes as D-8 member Iran is embroiled in an international crisis over its nuclear program. Can the summit help ease tensions?

PRAGUE, May 11, 2006 (RFE/RL) -- Iran's president, Mahmud Ahmadinejad, is expected to try to enlist active support for Iran's controversial nuclear effort while he's in Bali.

The one-day meeting presents Ahmadinejad with a rare opportunity to appeal directly to fellow Muslim leaders at a time when Tehran is under intense international pressure to stop enriching uranium.

Tehran's Agenda

Ahmadinejad used a visit to Indonesia just before the summit to scorn the Western concern over Iran's nuclear program as "pretense."

"[The U.S. and its allies] pretend that they are concerned about the nuclear program of the Islamic Republic of Iran diverting [from peaceful uses]," Ahmadinejad said. "This is a big lie. I tell you that they are not at all concerned about the non-peaceful nuclear activities of any [country]."

Ahmadinejad appears to be trying to allay concerns about the seriousness of the opposition facing Iran over the nuclear question. In fact, at the United Nations, the United States, Britain, France, and Germany are busy trying to formulate a resolution that would legally bind Iran to end uranium enrichment or face possible sanctions or military intervention.

Analyst Glen Barclay, of the Australian National University in Canberra, says Iran's decision to attend the Bali summit at top level at such a difficult time indicates the importance Tehran attaches to its image abroad:

"[It's a] demonstration that Iran is a major country, it's an influential country, it's part of the international community, and [it] is prepared to work closely with, and cooperate with, countries which are prepared to recognize its undeniable right to develop nuclear energy -- at least for peaceful purposes," Barclay says.

But the summit provides an opportunity not only for Iran to influence others -- but also for others to influence Iran. Turkey, for instance, is a NATO member and a close ally of the United States, as well as an aspiring EU member. Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan is listed to attend the summit, and he can be expected to reflect a view more like that of the Western powers.

The director of the Foreign Policy Institute at Bilkent University in Ankara, Seyfi Tashan, takes up this point.

"Towards Iran, Turkey has made it perfectly clear that Turkey wants nuclear energy to be used for absolutely peaceful purposes and that Iran should provide absolute transparency and full cooperation with the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA)," Tashan says.

Growing D-8 Influence?

The D-8 group is diverse. Apart from NATO's Turkey, there is nuclear-armed Pakistan, oil-rich Nigeria and Iran, plus resource-poor members like Egypt and Bangladesh.

Analyst Barclay notes that the D-8 members collectively inhabit an area of the world that he believes will become the economic and political powerhouse of the 21st century.

"The major players in the world balance of power, from now until the foreseeable future, are going to be the great Asian nations," he says.

Iran's South Pars gas field (Fars)Barclay adds that Iran figures in this equation, too. Thanks to Iran's vast energy resources, he argues, China and India have no option but to keep their links with Tehran open, come what may.

Barclay says that the Asian states have less interest than the West in isolating Iran, whether through sanctions or political isolation. He says they recognize that President Ahmadinejad is "very much a loose cannon" and their inclination is to try to limit his scope for excess.

"Other regional leaders would be very interested in having Iran tied into stable international organizations," Barclay says.

Ahmadinejad continued undeterred with his intemperate rhetoric in Jakarta today, telling students that Israel is an "evil" that "will one day vanish." But he also said that he is ready to negotiate with any country to resolve the dispute over Iran's nuclear program.


Copyright (c) 2006 RFE/RL, Inc. Reprinted with the permission of Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty, 1201 Connecticut Ave., N.W. Washington DC 20036. www.rferl.org

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