By Mehran
Ghassemi, Iranian journalist, Roozna newspaper,
Tehran
Sasan Fayazmanesh is chair of the Department of
Economics at California State University, Fresno.
Q. How do you evaluate the relationship between
the US and Israel at this time? What is this relation based on?
A: Allow me to say beforehand that I am currently
writing a book-tentatively entitled The United States and Iran: Sanctions,
Wars and the Policy of Dual Containment- which chronicles the US, Israel and
Iran relation since 1979. The book-which is to be completed by the end of
summer-examines, in a comprehensive manner, the evolution of the US policy of
"dual containment" of Iran and Iraq, particularly as it pertains to Iran. I
believe, without such a comprehensive analysis, it is difficult to give
meaningful and satisfactory answers to many questions that I am often asked
about the current entanglement between Iran on the one side and the US and
Israel on the other. With this caveat, I would answer your question by saying
that under no previous administration has the relation between US and Israel
been as close as under the current, Bush Administration. Why this is the case
and what the relation is based on requires the kind of comprehensive analysis
that I was referring to above. But let me just say that, as it is well known,
the Middle East Policy of the current administration has been determined by the
"neoconservatives," individuals who virtually see no distinction between the
"interest" of the US and Israel and might even put the "interest" of the latter
above the former. Now, I put "neoconservative" in quotation marks because, for
reasons that I will not go into here, it is an ambiguous and overrated
expression. Also, I put the term interest in quotation marks, since one has to
distinguish between perceived and actual interests on the one hand and the
interest of ordinary citizens and those of the elite on the other. The
individuals who make the US foreign policy, particularly the "neoconservatives,"
represent a privileged group of people with a unique and peculiar view of the
world. To these "neoconservatives" waging wars against Palestine, Iraq, Lebanon,
and possibly Iran and Syria, might appear to be in the "interest" of the US,
even though in actuality such policies might be very harmful to the interest of
ordinary citizens of the US, particularly in the long-run.
The current relation between the US and Israel, of
course, goes beyond the issue of the strength of the "neoconservatives" in the
White House. The US Congress, too, has traditionally been, and remains to this
day, a close ally of Israel. However, given that the US war against Iraq is
going very badly-and the fact the US was egged on to start this war by some
Israeli politicians and their "neoconservative" allies in the US-it appears that
a few US Congressmen have become lately somewhat uneasy about their blind,
unequivocal support for Israel.
Q. How do you evaluate the integration of US and
Israeli policy?
A: As it is clear from my answer above, the
integration of the US and Israeli policy is nothing new, it is many decades old.
But, as I also indicated above, under the current administration this
integration has reached a level not seen before. Even at the beginning of the
Bush Administration the integration was not as strong as it became later. We all
remember that immediately after the September 11 (2001) events the Bush
Administration spoke of the creation of a Palestinian State and started a
courtship dance with Iran. But the talk and dance ended as soon as the Israeli
forces inside and outside the US intervened. Binyamin Netanyahu's September 21,
2001, testimony before the US congress-when he stated that "if the US includes
terrorism-sponsoring regimes like Syria, Iran, or the Palestinian Authority in a
coalition against worldwide terrorism, then the alliance 'will be defeated from
the beginning'"- set the stage for a radical reversal of the US newly conceived
policy. Similarly, Ariel Sharon's October 6, 2001, warning that the US should
not "repeat the terrible mistake of 1938" stifled any attempt to moderate the US
policy. Finally, the January 6, 2002, Karine-A affair-when Israel
allegedly captured a ship carrying Iranian arms to the Palestinian Authority
group-put a complete stop to any rapprochement between the US and Iran or
attempt to establish a Palestinian State. The result was the January 29, 2002,
State of the Union Address by President Bush, when the "neoconservative" concept
of "axis of evil," coined apparently by David Frum, was put forward. From then
on the "neoconservatives" seemed to have complete control of the US Middle East
policy and integrated this policy fully with that of Israel.
Q. How do you see the role and the position of
the Israeli lobby in the US? Are there similar lobbies in Israel that advocate
for US interest?
A. This is a very broad and complicated question
that requires at least a book to answer. There are, of course, a number of
articles and books written on the subject of various Israeli lobby groups in the
US, particularly the American Israel Public Affairs Committee (AIPAC). The most
recent essay, and probably the most comprehensive and academic one, is that of
John Mersheimer and Stephen Walt, which can be found online. But even this
analysis is not detailed enough and, unfortunately, details that are provided
appear only in the footnotes. My own book will deal with the subject matter in a
greater detail, but only in so far as Iran is concerned. In other words, I
investigate the role that various Israeli lobby groups and individuals have
played, particularly since the early 1990s, in formulating the US foreign policy
towards Iran. The role, I would argue, is quite extensive. Indeed, I argue, that
we have to trace this role to Martin Indyk, the communication advisor to Israeli
Prime Minister Yitzhak Shamir, a staffer at AIPAC, the head of the Washington
Institute for Near East Policy (which is an offshoot of AIPAC), the Assistant
Secretary for Near Eastern Affairs at the US Department of State under the
Clinton Administration and the former US ambassador to Israel. In his 1993
inaugural address as the national security advisor to Clinton, Indyk stated:
The Clinton administration's policy of "dual
containment" of Iraq and Iran derives in the first instance from an assessment
that the current Iraqi and Iranian regimes are both hostile to American
interests in the region. Accordingly, we do not accept the argument that we
should continue the old balance of power game, building up one to balance the
other. . . The coalition that fought Saddam remains together, as long as we are
able to maintain our military presence in the region, as long as we succeed in
restricting the military ambitions of both Iraq and Iran, and as long as we can
rely on our regional allies Egypt, Israel, Saudi Arabia and the GCC, and
Turkey-to preserve a balance of power in our favor in the wider Middle East
region, we will have the means to counter both the Iraqi and Iranian regimes. We
will not need to depend on one to counter the other.
As I argue in my book,
Indyk's claim that the policy of dual containment of Iran and Iraq was something
new was exaggerated and the roots of the policy go back to the Carter
Administration and particularly Zbigniew Brzezinski. Setting aside this issue,
however, I argue that with the help of Martin Indyk, a few other individuals in
the Clinton White House and a few powerful people in the US Congress, various
Israeli lobby groups, especially AIPAC, became the underwriters of the sanction
policy of the US against Iran. This is particularly true of the 1996 Iran-Libya
Sanctions Act. But Indyk, I argue, represented the moderate wing of the Israeli
lobby groups in general and the Washington Institute in particular. He was close
to the Israeli Labor party.
When the Bush Administration came to power, more
radical members of the Washington Institute, such as Paul Wolfowitz and Richard
Perle, took over the formulation and implementation of the White House Middle
East policy. These "neoconservatives" were closely linked to the Likud party
members, particularly Binyamin Netanyahu. As such, their idea of "containment"
of Iran and Iraq went beyond the roundabout way of passing sanctions to ruin the
economy of these countries, bringing about discontent, causing revolt and then
overthrowing their governments; they advocated a more direct way for "regime
change": using the military might of the US to attack these countries. Even
though some of these individuals have left office, there are still many such
characters in the current administration. One such person is Elliott Abrams, the
current deputy national security adviser for global democracy strategy. He is,
of course, a well-known figure who was convicted, and subsequently pardoned, on
charges related to the Iran-Contra scandal. Another one is Stephen Hadley, the
current national security adviser to President Bush. Under former President
George H.W. Bush, Hadley served as an assistant to Wolfowitz, who was then
Undersecretary of Defense. Yet, another individual is Stuart Levey, the present
Treasury Department's Under Secretary for Terrorism and Financial Intelligence.
Levey has been working zealously to stop foreign banks from dealing with some
Iranian banks. In 2005 Stuart Levey gave an address at AIPAC that began with:
"It is a real pleasure to be speaking with you today. I have been an admirer of
the great work this organization does since my days on the one-year program at
Hebrew University in 1983 and 1984. I want to commend you for the important work
that you are doing to promote strong ties between Israel and the United States
and to advocate for a lasting peace in the Middle East." Then he goes on to talk
about what his office does and how "[w]e levy economic sanctions to pressure
obstructionist regimes, and we have the ability to freeze the assets of
wrongdoers."
The Israeli lobby groups' influence is, of course,
not confined to its members and associates in the White House. The lobby has a
great influence in the US Congress as well. Its own current website verifies
this influence by stating:
For more than half a century, the American Israel
Public Affairs Committee has worked to help make Israel more secure by
ensuring that American support remains strong. From a small public affairs
boutique in the 1950s, AIPAC has grown into a 100,000-member national
grassroots movement described by The New York Times as "the most
important organization affecting America's relationship with Israel."
Political advocacy is one of the most effective
ways in which AIPAC works to accomplish its mission. Each year, AIPAC is
involved in more than 100 legislative and policy initiatives aimed at
broadening and deepening the U.S.-Israel bond.
Among the "more than 100 legislative and policy
initiatives" that each year AIPAC helps to underwrite are the numerous sanctions
bills against Iran that I alluded to above. Obviously, given the short space
here, I can't elaborate on this and you have to wait until I finish my book.
As far as the second part of your question is
concerned, I don't have an answer. That is, whether there are similar lobby
groups in Israel that advocate for US interest is not something that I have
followed.
Q. You have used the term USrael. What
interpretation did you have in mind? What are the implications of this concept
for international relation?
A. It seems that some individuals have attributed
coining the term "USrael" to me. Unfortunately, I am not the originator of the
term. It existed before it appeared in some of my essays. I used it in the sense
that under the Bush Administration the US and Israel's foreign policy towards
the Middle East converged and became virtually indistinguishable. As I explained
earlier, this started to happen a few weeks after the events of the September
11, 2001, when the "neoconservatives" aligned the US policy in the Middle East
with that of Likud. Given this alignment, there is no significant policy
difference between the US and Israel over Palestine, Iraq, Iran, Syria or
Lebanon. This was not the case under the previous administrations. For example,
during the Clinton Administration the Likud and their "neoconservative"
counterparts in the US were trying to toughen the US stand towards Iran. But
near the end of the Clinton era US Secretary of State Madeleine Albright, under
the pressure from the US corporate lobby, tried to modify the direction of the
US belligerent policy towards Iran, much to the dismay of the Israeli lobby
groups. Her March 17, 2000, speech-in which she nearly apologized for the CIA's
1953 coup in Iran and spoke of the "regrettably shortsighted" US policy of
supporting Saddam Hussein during the Iraq-Iran war-was part of her attempt at
rapprochement. We have not seen such rapprochements since the "neoconservatives"
took over the US Middle East foreign policy and made it almost identical to that
of Israel.
The nearly complete alignment of the US and Israel
foreign policy has had a profound implication for the Middle East. For example,
the US used to pretend to be an "honest broker" between the Israelis and the
Palestinians. But now that veneer has mostly disappeared and the US does not
even pretend to be a neutral mediator. Since post September 11, Israel has had a
free hand in dealing with the Palestinians. It also has had a free hand in
waging the summer of 2006 war against the people of Lebanon. Indeed, as the
world watched, the US became the partner of Israel in that war. With regard to
Iran, as I have argued above, the implication is clear. Israel and its various
affiliates in the US are now the leading force in pushing the US in the
direction of confrontation with Iran.
Q. How do you evaluate political developments in
the US and Israel? For example, does the change in the balance of power in the
US Congress or the coming to power of a different faction in Israel have any
impact on strategic interest?
A. It is evident from what I stated earlier that
historically both the Democratic and Republican Parties have supported the
policy of "containment" of Iran since 1979. This support appears to continue in
the future as well. For example, on January 24, 2007, The Jerusalem Post
reported from Herzliya Conference in Israel that at "a time when most US
Democrats are calling for less military involvement abroad Edwards of South
Carolina told conference participants his country must do everything it can to
stop Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons." According to this report, Edwards, a
leading Democratic presidential candidate stated: "All the options are on the
table to ensure that Iran will never get a nuclear weapon." Similarly, the
Associate Press of February 2, 2007, reported that Hilary Clinton,
another leading Democratic presidential candidate, addressed an AIPAC event a
day earlier and stated: "I have advocated engagement with our enemies and
Israel's enemies." The prime "enemy" of both countries was, of course, Iran.
According to the same report, Hilary Clinton, then stated that the "U.S. policy
must be clear and unequivocal: We cannot, we should not, we must not permit Iran
to build or acquire nuclear weapons. . . In dealing with this threat . . . no
option can be taken off the table." On the same day, the Associated Press
reported that the Republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney lashed out at
Hilary Clinton and accused her of "timidity" regarding the security threat posed
by Iran. Romney, according to the report, told the conservative Republicans that
at "this point, we don't need a listening tour about Iran. . . Someone who wants
to engage Iran displays a troubling timidity toward a terrible threat of a
nuclear Iran." The same Mitt Romney also appeared at the Herzliya Conference,
according to The Jerusalem Post, and stated that "Iran must be stopped,
Iran can be stopped, and Iran will be stopped. . . The heart of the jihadist
threat is Iran. . . I believe that Iran's leaders and ambitions represent the
greatest threat to the world since the fall of the Soviet Union and before that
Nazi Germany." In a more recent interview with ABC News on February 16, 2007,
Mitt Romney called the whole nation of Iran "genocidal" and "suicidal," adding
that "you say to yourself this is a setting where, of course, you have to
consider the possibility of military action, but we're not there." The rest of
the Republican presidential candidates are not much different. The same
Jerusalem Post that I referred to above also stated that another
"Republican hopeful Sen. John McCain said the US should 'intensify' its military
support for Israel to ensure that the country maintained it strategic edge over
those who were bent on destroying it such as Iran."
As we can see from the above, presidential
candidates from both parties are singing the same tune. The question is which
wing of the Israeli lobby groups will be put in charge of formulating the Middle
East policy when one of these candidates is elected. Will it be Martin Indyk and
Dennis Ross type or Wolfowitz and Perle kind?
Given that the US policy towards Iran is devised by
different wings of the Israeli lobby groups, and given the affiliations of these
groups with Israeli parties, it is natural to expect the same kind of mind set
among the Israeli leaders. These leaders, too, are unified in their policy of
"containment" of Iran. Whether it is Likud, Labor or Kadima party, the essence
of the policy will remain the same. The only difference appears to be how each
party or individual intends to "contain" Iran. Some Israeli politicians are more
aggressive and fanatical in their "containment" policy than others. For example,
in their campaign to demonize Iran, both Binyamin Netanyahu, the "hawkish"
former Prime Minister, and Shimon Peres, the "dovish" former prime minister,
have repeatedly compared today's Iran to Nazi Germany. But, according to the
Agence France Presse of December 5, 2005, Benjamin Netanyahu promised "a
pre-emptive air strike against Iran's nuclear installations if he were to be
re-elected." Shimon Peres might think twice about such a strike.
Q. How does the US establish a balance between
its relation with Arab allies and Israel?
A. Historically, successive US administrations have
maintained a symbiotic relation with both their Arabs client states and Israel.
At times US's alliance with the Arabs states has caused some annoyance on the
part of Israel and its lobby groups. For example, in the early years of the
Iran-Iraq war the US decided to sell Airborne Warning and Control System (AWACS)
to Saudi Arabia to assist Saddam Hussein with intelligence. This decision did
not sit well with some Israeli politicians and their allies in the US who were
interested in "containing" Iraq first. Similar frictions and fissures have
appeared at other times. The interesting issue is what has happened in recent
times. Some "neoconservatives" in the Bush White House, such as David
Wurmser-currently, Middle East adviser to Vice President Dick Cheney-who saw the
policy of "dual containment" as too roundabout and time consuming, advocated
adopting a new policy: "Dual Rollback of Iran and Iraq." According to this
policy, the US was supposed to attack Iraq, bring the Shiite majority to power,
use this power-which supposedly would be friendly to the US and Israel-as a
counterweight to Shiite Iran, and then do a "regime change" in Iran. The policy,
however, has so far not worked as planned. That is, the Iraqi Shiites have not
challenged Iran or shown a great affection and admiration for the US and Israel.
Given this reality, we now hear something new in the US-Israeli circle: a
dangerous "Shiite crescent," headed by Iran, is appearing in the Middle East,
stretching from Lebanon to Iraq and beyond. This crescent, we are told, must be
defeated by an alliance of the US, Israel and Sunni Arab states. The implication
of this policy is that Israel and its neoconservative allies in the US might no
longer oppose a close relation between US and its traditional Arab client
states, such as Saudi Arabia. The new policy is, of course, based on the old
dictum of "the enemy of my enemy is my friend." The US and Israel have played
this game many times before in their pursuit of colonial domination, sometimes
with costly blowbacks. The sad fact is that some Arab states appear to be going
along with this old colonial trick and are joining the alliance against the
"Shiite crescent."
Q. What is the role of Israel in pressuring Iran
regarding the nuclear issue?
A. The role is extensive, particularly if you also
include Israel's lobby groups and associates in the US. But showing how
extensive it is requires writing a detailed account, which obviously I can't
provide here. In my book I trace one of the first official claims about Iran
making an atomic weapon to the "neoconservative" Kenneth L. Adelman. According
to the July 1984 Department of State Bulletin, on May 2, 1984,
Adelman-who was at the time the US Director of the Arms Control and Disarmament
Agency-gave an address before the "Mid-America Committee" in Chicago in which he
spoke of some "frightening thoughts," such as Iran, Libya, or Palestine
Liberation Organization acquiring a nuclear bomb. Adelman then stated that
"today, talk about the spread of nuclear weapons to Iran is in the news. A
British defense journal recently alleged that Ayatollah Khomeini's Iran is only
2 years away from acquiring nuclear weapons." Twenty three years later, we are
still told by the "neoconservatives" and their counterparts in Israel that Iran
is 2, 5 or 10 years away from the nuclear bomb. In my book I will provide
details of twenty three years of such claims by the Israelis and their
associates in the US. Let me just mention one interesting claim. Starting in
1992 Israelis and some "Iranian dissidents," who have been working closely with
the Israeli intelligence, began to claim that Iran actually possesses three or
four nuclear warheads. According to this claim, Iran had acquired these warheads
from Kazakhstan, after the break up of the Soviet Union.
As late as 1998 the news still percolated within the
Israeli, "Iranian dissidents" and some American circles. For example, on April
9, 1998, The Jerusalem Post stated: "Iran received several nuclear
warheads from a former Soviet republic in the early 1990s and Russian experts
maintained them, according to Iranian government documents relayed to Israel and
obtained by The Jerusalem Post." "The documents," the Israeli newspaper
went on to say, "deemed authentic by US congressional experts and still being
studied in Israel, contain correspondence between Iranian government officials
and leaders of the Revolutionary Guards that discusses Iran's successful efforts
to obtain nuclear warheads from former Soviet republics." The paper then went on
to say: "The documents appear to bolster reports from 1992 that Iran received
enriched uranium and up to four nuclear warheads from Kazakhstan, with help from
the Russian underworld." The following day The Jerusalem Post ran another
piece on the same story. This time it claimed that "Iran paid $25 million for
what appears to have been two tactical atomic weapons smuggled out of the former
Soviet Union in a highly classified operation aided by technicians from
Argentina, according to Iranian government documents marked top secret and
obtained by The Jerusalem Post." All this, of course, was pure, sheer
fabrication by Israel, their US allies and their "Iranian dissidents" partners.
The sensational story, however, soon disappeared as the CIA and US government
admitted that there was no truth to it. Afterward, the Israelis and their allies
went back to estimating how soon Iran will have the atomic bomb; and since the
bomb never materialized, they kept pushing the estimate back. Of course, as I
will show in my book, the alleged Iranian bomb, similar to the proverbial
"weapons of mass destruction" in Iraq, is an excuse. The real intention is to
complete the "dual containment" by "containing" or destroying the one country
that is still standing.
Q. The US is facing the anger of the Middle
Eastern people as the result of its support for Israel. Is it possible to
continue this? Or will the US reach a point when it will be ready to change the
equation.
A: As long as the anger of the people of
Middle East does not translate into overthrowing the corrupt, tyrannical and
reactionary regimes in the Middle East who have symbiotic relation with the US
and Israel, I don't see much fundamental change in the US foreign policy. So
far, the anger has resulted mostly in sporadic, isolated and individual acts of
violence. Such acts have removed the veneer of US being an "honest broker"
between Israel and her opponents. Yet, at the same time, these actions have
hardened the position of the US, brought her even closer to Israel and resulted
in more acts of violence on the part of the US and Israel.
Q. How do
you access the prospect of development in the Middle East in the next year?
A. It is very difficult and dangerous to
predict the future, especially if one is familiar with the past and its
complexities. This is particularly true if one is dealing with individuals who
appear to be irrational or believe in a Hobbesian world. Will there be another
election in Israel to bring back Binyamin Netanyahu to office? Will he fulfill
his promise of "a pre-emptive air strike against Iran's nuclear installations if
he were to be re-elected"? Will "neoconservatives" push for the use of a "shock
and awe" air strike against Iran and carpet bomb Iranian nuclear and military
sites, however irrational that action might appear to be to the rest of the
world? Or will Iran capitulate, give up its right under Article IV of Nuclear
Non-Proliferation Treaty and accept the US-Israeli demand-which is now backed by
a UN sanction-to stop all enrichments activities? If Iran does accept this
demand, what other demands will be put forward by the US and Israel, given that
the nuclear issue, as I argued, is merely an excuse for "containment" of Iran?
If Iran does not accept the demand, and if rational people around the world can
stop the US and Israel from military adventurism, will there be more severe
sanctions drafted against Iran by the UN? Will Russia and China be bribed,
cajoled, arm twisted again to go along with these sanctions? Will these
sanctions bring about what the US and Israel have been after for years, namely,
to ruin the Iranian economy, bring about unrest, and make Iran ripe for a US
invasion, as was the case in Iraq? These are difficult questions to answer and
make predicting events in the future nearly impossible. The ultimate question,
however, is this: is Iran ready to deal with all and every contingency? Does
Iran know how this game is played and does it have a well-thought-of,
well-articulated and unified game plan of its own? Is Iran fully aware that the
US and Israel have patiently and meticulously worked for decades to push Iran
into the current corner, where UN sanction has been finally imposed on it? Is
Iran ready for the further tightening of the UN sanction noose? Could the
economy of Iran, which is already under severe constraints, withstand further
pressure? Are Iranians willing to tolerate additional economic hardship, such as
the reduction in foreign investment, falling employment and rising inflation?
Having carefully studies the history of the US-Israel-Iran entanglement, and
having heard many voices from Iran, empty rhetoric and wishful thinking, I am
not sure if the answers to the above questions are all affirmative.
Q. In your view is the confrontation of the US with Iran directed
toward the strategic position of Iran and its potential impact in the region or
is this effort directed to weaken the political and spiritual influence of Iran
in the region?
A. It seems like most empires in the past the US
does not tolerate disobedience and will not accept any challengers in the world,
whether it is Iran, Syria, North Korea, Sudan, Somalia, Cuba or Venezuela it
does not make much difference. Thus, it is not necessarily the strategic
position of Iran or its political and spiritual influence in the region that has
led to the confrontation between the two countries. The confrontation, as it is
well known, goes back to 1979, when the US "lost" Iran. Ever since the US has
been trying to bring back the old order and make Iran another obedient, client
state. To use an American expression, until Iran says "uncle" to the US and
Israel it is considered to be an "out law," a "rogue nation" that must be
punished. Of course, the strategic position of Iran and its political alignment
with groups such as Hamas and Hezbolah puts her on the top of the US's agenda.
Q. Will Iran be able to have the capacity to form
an alliance against Israel in the region? Or will Iran be forced to collaborate
with Syria, Hezbollah and Hamas to form an anti-Israel alliance as opposed to
moderate Arab countries?
A. As mentioned earlier, having failed to achieve
the desired result in Iraq, the US and Israel are now trying to create the myth
of the Shiite crescent headed by Iran. As I also indicated, the traditional Arab
client states of the US appear to be accepting this new myth and are going along
with the idea of joining US and Israel in the "containment" of Iran. Whether
Iran can change this trend appears to be doubtful given the nature of these Arab
regimes and their long, historical, and symbiotic relation with the US. That
leaves Iran with a very limited choice of allies, such as Syria, Hezbollah and
Hamas. But, obviously, this alliance doe not do much for Iran in terms of
security. Actually, a major reason for the US-Israel policy of "containment,"
and the resulting insecurity that Iran faces, is Iran's support for groups such
as Hamas and Hezbollah. As I have argued elsewhere and will argue in my book,
when the policy of "dual containment" was announced in the early 1990s, Iran was
said to commit three "sins:" 1) sponsoring terrorism worldwide-which was meant
support for Hamas, Hezbollah and Islamic Jihad-2) opposing Middle East peace
efforts-which was meant the Oslo "peace process"-and 3) developing weapons of
mass destruction-which, at the time, was left ambiguously defined. The sin of
opposing the Olso "peace process" was soon dropped out of the equation, since
Israel opposed it as well. But the other two sins remained; and, to paraphrase
Paul Wolfowitz's explanation for invading Iraq, for bureaucratic reasons the US
and Israel settled on the issue of weapons of mass destruction as the core
reason for "containing" Iran. In actuality, the main reason for Israel's
belligerent policy towards Iran has been the latter's support for Hamas and
Hezbollah. As long as that support remains, the attempt to "contain" Iran and
the resulting insecurity will remain.
Q. Will Israel serve as pressure lever against
Iran? Or will she, by exaggerating the nuclear threat of Tehran, try to create
Western shield for itself?
A. Israel, as I have alluded to above and will show
in my book, has been the prime force behind "containing" Iran since the end of
the US invasion of Iraq in 1991 and the subsequent UN sanctions imposed on the
country. Also, given what I said earlier, it is clear that Israel does not need
a Western shield and is not really worried about Iran building a nuclear weapon.
It is well known-and lately Olmert admitted it indirectly- that Israel has many
nuclear warheads. With those warheads, and her advanced Western technology,
Israel cannot possibly feel threatened by Iran supposedly developing a primitive
nuclear bomb. As President Jacques Chirac stated in his January 31, 2007,
interview with The New York Times: "Where would Iran drop this bomb? On
Israel? . . It would not have gone off 200 meters into the atmosphere before
Tehran would be razed to the ground." As I have argued above, the issue of Iran
allegedly developing a nuclear weapon is an excuse by the US and Israel to
"contain" Iran in the same manner that they "contained" Iraq. The "containment"
of Iraq, of course, did not go exactly as planned, but Iraq will be economically
and militarily out of action for decades to come. For some of the architects of
the US invasion of Iraq, this is a good enough "containment."
Note: This interview is
available in Persian on Roozna's web
site.