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Professor Ali Mohammd
Saeedi
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ISNA, Tehran - Recent calculations and studies by professor
Saeedi, expert in oil and gas reservoirs, Dr. Derakhshan, energy economist and
several other engineers, on Iran's reservoirs proves that
injecting gas to increase oil extraction is the most economic alternative of gas
consumption.
The Strategic Issues reporter of ISNA said
these calculations is based on mathematical models run in three different
scenarios to estimate the necessary amount of gas needed to extract oil.
Professor Saeedi said: If gas is injected
into our oil reservoirs, the volume of Iran's fossil energy resources would
become more than Saudi Arabia in the long run
and Iran can gain the first place in the
world.
He warned: Non-injection of gas would
diminish Iran's oil production by two million
barrels per day and we would be forced to import oil.
Based on his recent calculations on
Iran's oil reservoirs, Saeedi said:
The amount of gas dedicated to exportation can prevent the destruction of 65
billion barrels of oil; this reservoir will be buried because of non-injection
of gas and the decrease in pressure.
To understand the full implications of this
assessment it should be noted that assuming an exportation of four million
barrels a day, the reservoir of 65 billion barrels would be the amount of oil
exported in 44 years with a value of 3.9 trillion Dollars (based on 60 Dollars
per barrel).
It should noted that Professor Saeedi's
studies in 1355 [1976] which has been published recently by Majlis Research
Centre, shows that Iran's oil reservoirs needed an injection of 250 million
cubic meters of gas in that period. This programme was approved by the Iranian
oil company and all the necessary equipments were ordered and bought. Today,
after a quarter of a century, only 100 million cubic meters of gas is injected
to these reservoirs. According to estimations by Professor Saeedi the volume
needed today is in the range of 560 million cubic meters.
Several oil officials have recently claimed
that the rate of oil retrieval in oil reservoirs has increased to 27 percent.
Professor Saeedi denies this claim and said: The rate of retrieval is 21 percent
in our oil fields. The oil ministry should explain how, without having injected
gas in oil fields, it has increased the retrieval rates.
Professor Saeedi had published his important
research and studies, entitled Oil and National Interests, regarding the
necessity to inject gas in oil field to increase production of oil in 1381
[2002] (before the rise in oil prices) in Majlis Research Centre newsletter. In
his report the attention is drawn to the fact that to maintain the production of
4 million barrels a day (with a real production of 3.5 million barrels) the Oil
Company needs six thousand new oil wells within the next 20 years. This would
require an investment of 33 billion Dollars. If gas is injected into the oil
fields daily by 20 billion cubic pye, this number will be reduced by half and
reach 3000 oil wells. The economy in this case is equal to the cost of
production, transfer and injection of 20 billion cubic pye.
He anticipated: In the year 2015 due to the
inability of many oil exporting countries to export oil the prices would rise
considerably and we can benefit from this situation if we invest sufficiently in
marinating our oil fields.
Note: Original article published in Persian
by ISNA.
Translated for Payvand.com by BMarz translators: http://www.BMarz.com