By Barry Wood, VOA, Washington
Experts on the
Russian energy sector say Russia's economy is in good shape as a result of
record high oil prices and surging energy exports. VOA's Barry Wood reports on a
conference held Monday at Washington's Georgetown
University.
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China is a major
customer for oil from
Russia |
As
oil prices surged to another record ($93.56 per barrel), energy analysts said
Russia has become a critical player in the world oil and gas market. Richard
Herold is director of international affairs of the London-based oil
multinational, BP, which has large investments in Russia.
"Russia is the number one country in the entire world
in terms of proven oil and gas reserves," said Richard Herold. "[It is] Larger
than Saudi Arabia, the country that seems to be most famous for that in the
United States, larger than Iran. It is also the largest in the world in terms of
yet to find oil and gas reserves. This means reserves that are yet to be proven
in the ground but reserves that the industry and experts believe are there."
The energy sector accounts for 35 percent of Russian
gross domestic product and provides 50 percent of government revenue. Russia's
economy is growing at a seven percent annual rate.
Matthew Sagers, the Russia specialist at Cambridge
Energy Research Associates, says that, while much of Russia's energy sector has
been privatized, policy makers in the Kremlin view the industry as a foreign
policy tool.
"It is basically perceived as being an instrument for
restoring the power of the central authority within Russia and an instrument for
reclaiming a position for Russia in international affairs," said Matthew Sagers.
"It is, really, the weapon."
Russia used the energy weapon two years ago when it
briefly shut off gas exports to Ukraine.
The experts identified weak infrastructure and lack
of capital investment as challenges facing the Russian oil industry. They said
taxes are so high that the private sector has little incentive to
invest.
Cliff Gaddy of Washington's Brookings Institution, a
respected research organization, observed that with global energy demand rising,
the West favors increased Russian oil and gas production. Gaddy says President
Vladimir Putin has the same objective.
"Our [the West's] desired outcome [in the
presidential succession] can actually come, most likely, if Putin stays in
charge and secures the succession," said Cliff Gaddy.
Gaddy was referring to the possibility that Mr. Putin
could hold on to power by becoming prime minister even after his presidential
term expires next year.