By Kam Zarrabi,
Intellectual Discourse
Let's indulge in a highly unlikely imaginary
scenario.
News breaks out that, rather than wait for the Bush
administration's term to expire, the Iranian regime has just reached the
conclusion that accepting America 's terms unequivocally is truly in the Iranian
peoples' best interests. Within weeks, all nuclear enrichment facilities are to
be dismantled and medium and long range missiles destroyed, American and UN
inspectors will gain total access to Iran's military and defense establishments,
and the Revolutionary Guards Corps will be officially decommissioned. What is
even more surprising, Iran offers to recognize Israel and declares Hezbollah and
Hamas as terrorist organizations.
Within a few days, the Supreme Leader, Ayatollah
Khamenei, announces the decision that the "Islamic" connotation will be dropped
from the name of the country, which will revert back to just "Iran". He then
promises to retire to the holy city of Msahhad within a few months. President
Ahmadinejad resigns months ahead of his term, and the Majlis invites the Pahlavi
prince and his entourage to return to Iran, accompanied by his American and
Israeli advisors, to form a new government.
To make sure that everything is on the level,
American, Israeli and the European Union representatives are to be invited to
send observers to Iran and monitor this historic transition from a "rogue" state
to a Western style modern secular democracy.
Celebrations break out, from the streets of Tehran,
New York, Los Angeles, "Tehrangeles" and London to Tokyo and Seoul, and
particularly Moscow .
Iran is no longer regarded as a member of the Axis
of Evil or the single most dangerous threat to the peace and security of the
region and the world and possibly even the universe. Iranian missiles supposedly
carrying those clandestinely built nuclear bombs will no longer be aimed at
Israel, Europe and the United States, against which the United States had so
wisely decided to install missile defense shields in Eastern Europe and Israel
at such great costs both financially and diplomatically.
The Russian government is delighted that now the
United States can abandon the plans to install missile defense shields in Poland
and the Czech Republic, which the Russians were suspecting were actually aimed
at their country and not, as claimed by the United States, at Iran.
The White House (excluding, of course, the Vice
President and his neocon cabal) is simply overjoyed with the confirmed news of
this unexpected turn of events, giving the President the historic opportunity
just before leaving office to declare victory over the last stubbornly defiant
obstacle that had stood in the way of his humanitarian Christian mission to
spread freedom and democracy in the Middle East.
With Iran 's cooperation, the Iraqi regime can now
overcome its problems with its dissidents and terrorists and announces its
readiness to handle its own internal security and preserve its territorial
integrity. This would allow the United States and the Coalition forces to hand
over these responsibilities to the Iraqis and return to their home bases to the
delight of their respective populations.
The only remaining source of trouble, the Al-Gha'eda
and their Taliban supporters in Afghanistan and Pakistan, a real concern for
both the United States and Iran, would now be quickly and effectively tackled by
the joint Iran/American forces and uprooted in a few months.
Iran becomes a role model, ahead of Iraq and
Afghanistan, for other regimes in the Middle East and the surrounding regions,
from Egypt and Saudi Arabia to Syria and Pakistan, to adopt true democratic
principles and implement reforms to comply with the expectations of the
civilized world; reforms in the domains of women's rights and universal
suffrage. Furthermore, this sudden awakening by the most formidable opponent of
American agendas in the Middle East demonstrates to the other regional Islamic
states that, next to the mandates of Allah and possibly in parallel with them,
the American way must be the path to salvation, if not survival, for all.
The war on terror, at least in economically and
strategically the most vital area of the planet, has thus come to its positive
conclusion. Yet, much to our collective surprise, the initial celebrations and
exuberant anticipations for a long awaited peace and harmony, even before the
arrival of the prophesied Messiah, soon prove to have been quite premature.
Sadly, all's not well in this dreamscape!
The Israeli regime soon finds itself under
increasing pressure from the West and even by its main benefactor, the United
States, to consummate the long overdue peace treaty with the Palestinians. With
Hamas no longer receiving support from the Iranians, and the Lebanese Hezbollah
abandoned by Iran, an emboldened Israel sees the path open to expand the
construction of new settlements in the Palestinian lands and to increase
pressure on the Palestinian population. However, without an ominous Iran and a
"second Hitler" as an existential threat, Israel has to create some other
regional pariah to serve as its raison d'ętre in order to distract the world's
attention and to gain sympathy. But even Syria is now willing to throw in the
towel. Not ready or willing to give up a square inch of prime real estate in
exchange for any peace settlement, no matter how meaningless, the Israelis find
themselves in a real quandary.
The Israelis do, however, have the ultimate trump
card up their sleeve: the powerful political lobby in Washington with its proven
political and financial influence on America's news media and foreign policy
apparatus. Thanks to this power and influence, anything that Israel deems
essential in promoting its own agenda will receive not only near unanimous
Congressional approval, but the support of the bedazzled American public, as
well.
Speculations begin to circulate around various
intelligence agencies that the Israelis are drawing plans to stage some kind of
a terror attack somewhere in the region, possibly against the remaining American
bases or naval fleet or even against their own installations, and blame it on
Iran, discrediting Iran's peace gestures, in order to reignite regional
instability and to keep the pot churning.
The proverbial monkey jumps on the American
administration's back, yet again! The dilemma is how to appease the Israeli
regime, keep the little troublemaker happy, and avoid a new war.
It doesn't take long for the Russians to realize
that their suspicions about the true motives for the missile defense shields
in Eastern Europe were well founded. The American plans to go forward with
the missile defense shields have not been abandoned. The United States, they
can now see, is attempting to isolate Russia economically and, at the same
time, paralyze its potential military response; in other words, the phoenix
of the Cold War begins to rise from the ashes.
But this time the assured-mutual-destruction of
a dreaded nuclear exchange is not going to prevent the Cold War from
reaching thermonuclear temperatures.
Russians can clearly see that an expansion of
NATO into the former Soviet satellites, including Georgia, Azerbaijan and
Ukraine, would do to Russia what surrounding Iran with American land and
naval forces, as well as economic pressures, did to Iran; i.e., bring it to
its knees.
Russia 's principle weapon against economic
collapse and social meltdown would boil down to its immense oil and natural
gas reserves, which fuel much of Europe's energy needs. And, high crude
prices and limited supplies guarantee a degree of prosperity that would
otherwise dwindle in an alarming rate. However, with Iran now a member of
the capitalist club, and the American controlled Iraqi oil soon reaching its
full potential, Russia's precious leverage over America's main European
counterparts begins to fade, leaving raw military power as the only viable
means of preventing a socioeconomic collapse.
Using the American and Israeli threats of
preemptive military strikes against Iran, in which the use of tactical
nuclear weapons was openly declared as an option, Russia sites its own
candidates as potential dangers to its national security, among them
Georgia, Ukraine, Poland, the Czech Republic and even Israel, as possible
targets for a defensive preemptive attack. The Russian bear must come out of
hibernation and put on some weight to protect its own territory.
A calm and peaceful Middle East, at the same
time, is not good news for the gigantic military-industrial complex and
defense contractors, major contributors to the American economy and living
standards, who have been thriving on the windfall profits of the ongoing
mayhem brought about and perpetuated by America's war on terror.
If Iran truly falls in line and agrees to
support the United States in isolating, controlling and eliminating Islamic
threats in the rival Arab states, some other formidable enemy must be found
to replace the Islamic threat. Could that be a Sino-Russian alliance?
China would be able to accomplish its economic
growth targets at a much faster rate if it had access to sufficient sources
of energy – oil and gas from Russia . The Red threat of communism that was
conveniently replaced by the Green threat of Islamic fundamentalism will now
be replaced by a potentially far greater Yellow threat; China's explosively
expanding economy backed by Russia's energy resources and indomitable
military arsenal!
One can only imagine the change in the global
dynamics and the economic balance of powers should India also decide to join
with the Sino-Russian Federation.
Shockwaves of "democratic" reform might also
spread from Iran and begin to rock the already pro-American regimes of
Saudi Arabia, Kuwait and those flourishing, fun-loving Emirates with their
multi-billionaire playboy Emirs, threatening to uproot those anachronistic
oligarchies. Egypt will come next. After all, isn't real democracy with all
its modern attributes what we have been trying to promote in the region? Or,
have we been just pretending in order to push our own agendas?
Let us be realistic; does America truly want
peace, democracy and self-determination for the inhabitants of the oil-rich
Middle East ? Maybe it would be safe to say that the American people would
like nothing more. But what about those movers and shakers whose own private
interests, world views or sympathies do not fall in line with the honest
preferences of the American public?
What about those brains behind the think-tank,
Project for the New American Century (PNAC) and their neocon colleagues who
have been occupying practically all the sensitive Cabinet positions,
including the office of Vice President, for nearly eight years now? With
Iran no longer appearing as a legitimate evil, what other evil are they
going to come up with to perpetuate the myth?
And let us not forget the corporations and
defense industries that must gulp up a huge chunk of the nation's budget at
the expense of the secondary needs or trivial pursuits such as health,
education, roads, bridges, housing, social security and the general welfare
of the American people.
Interestingly, both Barack Obama and John McCain
recently appeared on a televised interview show in a, to put it politely,
sophomoric religious forum, where they were asked how each would respond to
the problem of evil. Obama, appearing very Christian, preferred to seek out
the roots of that evil and address the issue in a systematic, therapeutic
manner and not by committing more evil to eradicate evil! McCain, our
decorated war hero, on the other hand, would waste no time and would attack
and destroy evil on the spot regardless of what stood in his way, like he
was doing in Vietnam before his plane was shot down.
Wow, a world without evil; what a wonderful
promise for mankind, no matter which way the new leader of the free world
chooses to wipe it off the face of the map!
Don't these two candidates for the highest office in
the land realize that, were there no evil, we would have to create one, because
without some evil, noble and good would have no meaning at all? Could there be
an "up" if there was no "down" to contrast it? Does "light" have any meaning if
there was no "darkness"?
This could be why, perhaps, the omniscient and
omnipotent God of Abraham saw it necessary to allow evil to exist, even though
He knew that the theologians would forever try to explain His rationale for it.
Or, perhaps, the Omniscient One wanted to give the powerful and the mighty the
opportunity to use evil as the pretext to take up arms in pursuit of their own
interests.
So, John and Barack, please don't try to sweet-talk
us into believing that you truly intend to, or really believe you can, eradicate
evil. Without some evil somewhere, we'd lose our own noble cause or honorable
mission to promote our global interests at everybody else's expense. Dragon
slayers do need dragons to slay; otherwise where would our champions come from?
|

Kam Zarrabi |
Kam Zarrabi
is the author of In Zarathushtra's Shadow and
Necessary Illusion.
He is available to conduct lectures and seminars on international
affairs, particularly in relation to
Iran, with focus on US/Iran issues, at formal and informal
gatherings or academic centers anywhere in the country. To make the
necessary arrangements, please contact him at
kzarrabi@aol.com.
More information about Mr. Zarrabi and his work is available at:
www.intellectualdiscourse.com. |
... Payvand News - 08/25/08 ...
Bookmark/Share this post with:
Delicious |
Digg |
Facebook |
Furl |
Google |
Magnolia |
Newsvine |
Reddit |
Yahoo
© Copyright 2008 NetNative
(All Rights Reserved)
|
|
#