London, Dec 16, IRNA - The London Energy Meeting
will begin here on Friday with the participation of 40 energy and oil ministers
from across the world including the Organization of Petroleum Exporting
Countries members.
"The London meeting represents the next step in
international dialogue between major oil producing and consuming countries,"
said the British Department of Energy and Climate Change (DECC) on Tuesday.
Friday's meeting follows the Jeddah summit back
in June and will discuss the impact of the financial crisis on energy
investment.
Iran's Oil Minister Gholam Hossein Nozari is also
among those being invited to the London Energy Meeting.
Nozari is now in Algeria to participate in an
emergency meeting of OPEC aimed at stabilizing the oil market by reducing
production up to two million barrels per day.
The London meeting will be chaired by UK Energy
and Climate Change Secretary Ed Miliband followed by the Saudi oil minister and
representatives of OPEC.
It will also be attended by a small selection of
national and international oil companies, banks and other relevant organizations
such as the World Bank.
British Prime Minister Gordon Brown earlier said
the objective of the London meeting will be to "enhance the dialogue between the
major oil producing and consuming countries, in order to improve the functioning
of the oil market."
The Jeddah meeting was held in a background of
oil price reaching record levels approaching nearly 150 dollars per barrel (dpb),
but prices have since fallen back to below 50 dpb for the first time in
three-and-a-half year due to the world economic crisis.
OPEC output cut to help
stabilize market: Nozari
Algiers, Dec 16, IRNA - Oil Minister Gholam-Hossein
Nozari said on Tuesday that the OPEC output cut by 1.5-2 million barrel a day
would help stabilize the oil market.The
Iranian minister is currently in Algeria to attend the formal meeting of the
Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) due to start in the
city of Oran on Wednesday.
"Otherwise, the oil market will face a more
severe situation where both producers and consumers would lose in the long
term," Nozari told IRNA.
Asked about the commitment of the OPEC member
states to the output cut since November 2008, he said the OPEC Secretary-General
Abdullah al-Badri would brief the audience on the issue during the meeting.
On Iran's commitment to reduction of 199,000
barrels decided by OPEC since the beginning of November 2008, he said the
Islamic Republic of Iran has fulfilled all its commitments as per the OPEC
decision to keep its output at the level required by the organization.
CGES further downgrades oil
price forecast
London, Dec 16, IRNA - The Center for Global Energy
Studies (CGES) has further reduced its oil price forecast for 2009, suggesting
that Dated Brent would most likely average only 41 dollars per barrel (dpb),
less than half this year's average.
Last month, CEGC predicted in its reference case
that Dated Brent would average 49.1 dpb next year, even with OPEC reducing its
output to 29.7 million barrels per day (mbpd) from an average of 32.3 mbpd in
2008.
But in its latest oil report, it suggested that
rates would drop to an average of only 34.3 dpb in the first quarter of 2009
with OPEC producing even an average of 29.1 mpd for the year. It saw lesser of a
recovery in prices in the second half.
"Next year is set to be a tough one for the world
economy and this pessimistic view is reflected in our bleak outlook for global
oil demand," the report said, putting it at 85.3 mbpd and doubling last month's
decline forecast.
It forecast that Dated Brent would struggle to
reach an average of 57.8 dpb in 2009, even with a stronger global demand of 86.1
mbpd compared with 85.8 mbpd for this year, which is predicted by the
International Energy Agency.
"The key question on the oil market's radar
screen right now is whether the oil price's collapse from its recent all-time
highs is a temporary blip," the London-based centre asked.
The World Bank favours the view that it is the
end of the upward phase of a normal commodity cycle, but many in the investment
banking, mineral extraction and stockbroking communities are said to believe
instead that the oil price fall is due to the slowdown.
CGES said that they are arguing that when the
global economy picks up so too will oil prices, but it warned that they were
forgetting that the demand for oil in the OECD countries started falling from
2006 as a result of higher prices before the recession.
... Payvand News - 12/16/08 ...
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