Prof. Babak Rahimi, National Iranian American Council (NIAC)
Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC),
the independent elite military force, has recently undergone a major
transformation in its command authority with the apparent aim of boosting its
political role in Iran. The new leadership assigned by the supreme leader, Ali
Khamenei, includes key appointments to the newly formed thirty-one command units
of the Revolutionary Guard. The most important posts have been filled with
figures like Mohammad Hejazi, appointed to the head of Sarallah, a powerful
military unit in the IRGC, and Jafar Assadi, named the new commander of the
ground forces. In addition, the appointment of Hojjatoleslam Hussain Taeb as to
the head of the Basij force, a volunteer militia recently integrated as a
military unit within the Guard, has followed the promotion of Hussein Hamedani
as his successor, each filling positions previously held by officers appointed
during the pre-Ahmadinejad era.
The new commanders are prominent hard-liner figures,
sharing a long record of military experience during Iran's eight-year war with
Iraq (1980-1988) and enjoying close relations with the Supreme Leader. For
instance, Taeb, a cleric and a military commander, who has previously served in
the office of the supreme leader, and Hejazi, former vice-commander of the Basij
Corps, are key Khamenei loyalists. They also have close connections with a
number of ideologue legislators in the parliament and cabinet ministers in the
administration of Ahmadinejad, who is also an ex-serviceman.
By and large, these promotions can be seen as
latest efforts by the Revolutionary Guard to become a key player in the
country's domestic politics. The Guard's initial push to enter Iranian politics
came in the late 1990s, during which rivalry between reformists and
conservatives had reached a tense stage. The first significant political entry,
however, occurred during the 2004 parliamentary elections, when a number of
ex-servicemen were allowed to run for elections by the conservative Guardian
Council.
The victory of Ahmadinejad in the 2005
presidential elections expanded this political strategy, bringing to view the
most important effort by the Guard to establish its firm grip on power. Through
a network of patronage, institutional supervision over various commercial
sectors and, more importantly, control over Iran's nuclear program, the
Revolutionary Guard has now become a leading political force with influence over
Tehran's policy-making decision.
Reviewing the Iranian print press in recent
months, the latest appointments seem to be an indication of a growing
competition between the hard-liner forces that back the Revolutionary Guard and
revisionist conservatives, led by the Speaker of the Parliament, Ali Larijani,
who seek a diplomatic solution to the current nuclear dispute. At the core of
the tension is the question of national interest: what is best for Iran, and how
to ideally develop Iran's nuclear program without isolating the country from the
global economy.
In this political context, the role of the
supreme leader appears to be one of a mediator between the factions, though his
tough stance on the nuclear issue has increasingly resembled the Guards, who are
at pains to convince him that diplomacy with the West is contrary to Iran's
national interest.
Hunkered down in paranoia due to a mounting sense
of military threat, coupled with the latest U.S.-led sanctions over its
financial activities, the reorganization of the leadership marks a strategic
attempt by the Revolutionary Guard to discredit domestic politicians who
advocate diplomacy with the West. With the Iranian public as the main target
audience, the move is a reminder that a totally alert military force serves as
the surest way to thwart American and Israeli threats.
On the military level, the changes also reflect a
tactical shift toward the centralization of power in order to enhance the
control of hard-liner Guard elites over the military force. Such tactic also
carries the advantage of eliminating the possibility of espionage within the
organization of the military, a source of considerable anxiety for conservative
clerics in light of efforts by Washington to acquire information about the
Guard's internal activities.
On the political level, however, the promotion of
hard-liner officers is a way to send a powerful message to the opposition
working within Iran's civil society. Aimed at evoking fear in the minds of
dissidents, the Guard is displaying a total readiness against its domestic foes.
More importantly, the message is also aimed at those lower and middle-ranking
officers within the Revolutionary Guard who are mostly pro-reform and skeptical
about economic and political policies endorsed by the conservative
establishment.
In essence, the upper-echelon of the
Revolutionary Guard espouses a self-perception as spiritual warriors with the
task to defend the Islamic Republic against both internal and external enemies,
a perspective that views a strong military force as the best insurance against
Western aggression. The concept holds that the ideal way to counteract a
perceived American attack, supported by predominantly hostile Sunni Arab states
in the Persian Gulf, where U.S. maintains large troop base, is to establish
prominent armed forces equipped with a high-tech weaponry system. Power respects
power when it is backed by a display of force, as the latest missile tests best
demonstrate.
As prospects of diplomatic failure over the
nuclear issue increases so will tension between competing centers of power in
Tehran's factional-ridden politics. With the mounting political crisis, the
hard-liners will have the support of the Revolutionary Guard to marginalize
those who seek diplomacy and provoke military confrontation as a way to
legitimize their claim to power. A growing sense of military attack would,
therefore, only encourage the militant Right to seek repressive measures against
Iran's civil society in order to maintain political hegemony.
Prof. Babak Rahimi teaches Iranian and
Islamic Studies at University of California San Diego. He is currently
conducting field research in Iran.
... Payvand News - 07/28/08 ...
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