By
Ismael Hossein-zadeh
How the "rescue" plan is not only fraudulent, it is also the
wrong medicine for the ailing economy
The Wall Street took the US (and the world) hostage
and extracted a heavy ransom. But while the enormous ransom was successfully
extracted, there are no guarantees that the hostages will be set free from the
shackles of trickle down economics. On the contrary, there are strong
indications that the fraudulent (and perhaps criminal) bailout may turn the
current crisis into a protracted agony of a long bleeding economic depression.
Why the Bailout Scam Is More Likely to Fail than
to Succeed
Leaving the issue of fraud aside, the bail out scam
is also doomed to fail because it avoids diagnosis and dodges the heart of the
problem: the inability of more than five million homeowners to pay their
fraudulently ballooned mortgage obligations.
Instead of trying to salvage the threatened real
assets or homes and save their owners from becoming homeless, the bailout scheme
is trying to salvage the phony or fictitious assets of the Wall Street gambler
and reward their sins by sending taxpayers' good money after gamblers bad money.
It focuses on the wrong end of the problem.
The apparent rationale for the bailout plan is that
while the injection of tax payers' money into the Wall Street casino may not be
fair, it is a necessary evil that will free the "troubled assets" and create
liquidity in the financial markets, thereby triggering a much-needed wave of
lending, borrowing and expansion.
There are at least five major problems with
this argument.
The first major problem is that the current
financial disaster is not really a liquidity problem as it is repeatedly
portrayed to be. It is a problem of faith and trust, or lack thereof, which in
turn stems from the disproportionately large amount of junk assets or mortgages
relative to real assets. It is true that lending and credit expansion has almost
come to a halt and, in this sense, there is a serious liquidity crisis. But this
illiquidity is not really due to a lack of good money or real assets in the
system. It is rather because owners of such valuable assets are unwilling to
lend their precious possessions to owners of troubled assets, or worthless
papers.
As
Herman E. Daly,
University of Maryland economist, puts it, "The value of present real wealth is
no longer sufficient to serve as a lien to guarantee the exploding debt.
Consequently the debt is being devalued in terms of existing wealth. No one any
longer is eager to trade real present wealth for debt even at high interest
rates. This is because the debt is worth much less, not because there is not
enough money or credit."
The second major problem with the bailout
scheme is that it is simply unfeasible and ineffectual because there is just not
enough good money to redeem all the bad money that has ballooned or bubbled to a
multiple of the good money and/or real assets.
The initial $700 billion bailout money falls way
short of what is needed to rescue the Wall Street gamblers, as it is only a
fraction of their accumulated bad debt. According to a September 29 Washington
Post report:
"Twenty of the nation's largest financial
institutions owned a combined total of $2.3 trillion in mortgages as of June 30.
They owned another $1.2 trillion of mortgage-backed securities. And they
reported selling another $1.2 trillion in mortgage-related investments on which
they retained hundreds of billions of dollars in potential liability, according
to filings the firms made with regulatory agencies. The numbers do not include
investments derived from mortgages in more complicated ways, such as
collateralized debt obligations."
These three categories of mortgage-related financial
instruments add up to a $4.7 trillion obligation for the twenty largest
financial institutions. This is nearly seven times as large as the initial
Paulson/Bernanke bailout plan of $700 billion, which means the plan is destined
to be ineffectual.
Nationwide, the ratio of bad to good money is much
higher. According to
Herman E. Daly,
"Financial assets have grown by a large multiple of the real economy—paper
exchanging for paper is now 20 times greater than exchanges of paper for real
commodities." This means that the initial $700 billion bailout fund is simply a
drop in the sea of bad debt, and that, therefore, there is not enough good money
to pay for the mountain of junk assets accumulated by the gambling financial
institutions.
The third major flaw of the bailout plan is
that, as mentioned earlier, it does not address the real problem: the problem of
rescuing the financially-distressed homeowners. As
Dr. Paul Craig Roberts
points out, "the Paulson bailout does not address the core problem. It only
addresses the problem for the financial institutions that hold the troubled
assets. Under the bailout plan, the troubled assets move from the banks' books
to the Treasury's. But the underlying problem--the continuing diminishment of
mortgage and home values--remains and continues to worsen."
Simply moving soured assets from fraudulent lenders
to the Treasury, that is, buying junk mortgages at face value, will neither help
the millions of homeowners facing homelessness, nor help mitigate the raging
financial crisis. The bailout should, instead, focus on defrauded homeowners and
real assets, not fictitious capital and its unscrupulous owners.
Instead of trying to salvage a mountain of soured
assets and prop up bankrupt institutions, the government should allow for a
market cleansing, or destruction, of such worthless assets by purchasing the
threatened mortgages not at their inflated face value but at the current,
depreciated, or market value—as the FDR government did in response the Great
Depression of the 1930s.
This alternative, homeowner-based solution would
have a number of advantages. First, and foremost, it would help citizens facing
the specter of homelessness stay in their homes by allowing them to pay
affordable mortgage installments based on reduced or realistic home prices.
By the same token, this solution would also allow
the government to gradually recover the market-based home prices it would be
paying the troubled commercial mortgage holders. Obviously, this means that,
instead of the predatory banks and similar financial institutions, the
government would now be the title holder of the rescued homes; of course, until
such homes are paid for, upon which time the homeowners would take the
possession of their home titles.
By cleansing the market of the dead-weight of tons
of junk assets, and allowing threatened homeowners to pay affordable mortgage
installments, this bottom-up solution would also help restore faith and trust in
the financial system, and in the lending and borrowing mechanism—thereby also
mitigating the liquidity crisis.
Furthermore, by bailing out homeowners (and real
assets) instead of Wall Street gambler, the government would need only a
fraction of the money needed to pay for the huge bubble of the junk assets that
have ballooned on top of a much narrower base of real assets. Compared with the
scandalous Paulson/Bernanke bailout scheme, this means that the government would
end up with enough excess money to invest on a long-term, robust stimulus plan a
la the New Deal of the 1930s.
And this brings us to the discussion of the
fourth major problem of the Paulson/Bernanke bailout scam: lack of any
economic stimulus plan, which is badly needed for economic revival. While
government substitution for predatory lenders and the resulting institution of
realistic or devalued mortgage installments will certainly lighten the financial
burdens of the economically-pressed, it will not relieve them from the need to
earn an income and make a decent living. Nor would it (by itself) provide the
badly needed purchasing power or necessary demand to stimulate the economy.
To achieve such broader socio-economic objectives
requires no less than duplicating (and perhaps even going beyond) FDR's New Deal
reform package that proved critical in ending the Great Depression of the 1930s.
A comprehensive long-term public investment in both social and physical
infrastructure (health, education, roads, bridges, levees, schools, green
energy, etc.) is bound to create jobs, inject purchasing power and liquidity
into the economy, and revive production and expansion.
Of course, such an urgently needed comprehensive
investment in the future of our society requires extensive public financing,
which, in turn, requires a careful and socially-responsible fiscal policy. And
this brings us to the fifth major problem of the Paulson/Bernanke bail
out scheme: absence of any mention, let alone change, of our warped or lop-sided
fiscal policies and priorities.
The sad and sick status of our public finance (the
rising budget deficits, the soaring national debt, the curtailment of crucially
important social spending, and the resulting neglect of both social and physical
infrastructure) is a direct consequence of our warped fiscal policies that give
priority to the interests of the super rich at the expense of everybody else. It
is a direct result of the looting of our public money through a combination of
(a) huge "supply-side" tax cuts for the wealthy, and (b) drastic increases in
the share of military spending at the expense of non-military public spending.
In a real sense, even the current financial meltdown
is a logical outcome of an economic philosophy that promotes extreme social
inequality. Contrary to "expert" punditry and popular perceptions, it is not
simply due to personal greed; more importantly, it is the result of a systemic
failure, or the outcome of the diverging and conflicting class interests.
Progressive taxation, social spending, New Deal
reforms, and the War on Poverty were designed not only to protect the poor and
working people against the woes and vagaries of market mechanism, but also to
save capitalism from itself. Instead of viewing public spending on social safety
net programs as long-term investment in the future of the nation, trickle-down
economic philosophy views such expenditures as overheads that need to be cut as
much as possible.
To this effect, proponents of this philosophy have
since the early 1980s been working very hard to cut taxes for the wealthy, to
cut non-military public spending, and to reverse most of the social safety net
programs that were put in place by FDR's New Deal and LBJ's War on Poverty.
Not surprisingly, the result has been an extreme
concentration of national riches and resources in fewer and fewer hands,
side-by-side with a steady deterioration of the living conditions of the
overwhelming majority of our citizens. Unable to make ends meet, most of our
citizens exceedingly resorted to borrowing.
Predatory lenders proved to be both creative and
merciless in taking advantage of the economically vulnerable, or the legitimate
aspirations and dreams of homeownership. Unfettered by the irresponsible
government deregulation policies, these rapacious lenders pushed loans, engaged
in deceitful or fraudulent lending practices, and unscrupulously invented many
shady financial instruments that resulted in the accumulation of massive amounts
of fictitious assets that proved unviable, and eventually collapsed under their
own dead weight.
Unless the lopsided national priorities and perverse
fiscal policies, known as trickle down or neoliberal economics, which began
under Ronald Reagan, are somewhat rectified or mitigated, and the resulting
financial resources are invested through a broad and carefully-crafted plan of
social and economic recovery, no bailout plan of the plutocrats, by the
plutocrats, for the plutocrats can succeed in reversing the current cycle of
economic decline.
... Payvand News - 10/13/08 ...
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