CIS Scholar Provides Roadmap and Rationale for U.S.-Iran Relations
CAMBRIDGE, MA April 15, 2009-A months-long study of U.S.-Iran relations concludes that a new diplomatic approach by the United States to transform the relationship with Iran could produce a breakthrough that will boost security and prosperity for the entire region.
The 50-page document by John Tirman of the MIT Center for International Studies provides a roadmap and a rationale for the new approach. Tirman, executive director and principal research scientist at the Center, recommends that:
2. explicit US disavowal of military threats and regime change strategies3. normalization of the diplomatic relationship
4. discussions on new security arrangements and cooperation in the region
The study also argues that this series of actions does not place U.S. security or interests in jeopardy should Iran not seriously engage. While calculations about Iran's likely response are speculative, it is likely they would enter into a productive dialogue with appropriate reciprocation.
Tirman stresses that the 30-year policy of coercion and isolation, occasionally accompanied by small diplomatic steps that made little or no progress, is a proven failure. More "carrots and sticks" ideas will also fail. The approach to Iran needs a complete overhaul. Tirman notes, for example, that "in current discourse, normalization is held out as a reward; it should instead be viewed as an instrument of sensible statecraft."
Sanctions are not working, as economic studies demonstrate. Iran has only grown stronger in the region in the wake of U.S. military ventures. The threats from the U.S. undermine the efforts of civil society activists in Iran; a number of prominent dissidents urge an new opening of the relationship.
On the nuclear issue, a better U.S.-Iran relationship, with security guarantees and recognition of Iran's role in the region, holds some promise for resolving the outstanding issues regarding Iran's nuclear development. A U.S.-Iran détente would markedly improve the security of Israeli and other states in the region. It would also benefit U.S. missions in Iraq and Afghanistan.
"Small gestures and better language are an improvement over the disastrous Bush policies," Tirman says, "but small steps are not enough. We need bold diplomacy for a breakthrough, and we can do so confidently because U.S. security is not at risk. The benefits of a breakthrough would be colossal. President Obama can do this steadily over the coming months. But the time to start is now."
The study was supported by the New Ideas Fund. Tirman directs the Persian Gulf Initiative at MIT, which has worked on the history of the U.S.-Iran relationship, among other topics. He is author of 12 books on international relations, including (as coeditor and coauthor),Terror, Insurgency, and the State: Ending Protracted Conflicts (Penn Press, 2007).MIT's Center for International Studies, a dynamic international affairs research center, is home to a variety of research, education, and outreach programs. It seeks to bridge the worlds of the scholar and the policymaker by offering each a place to exchange perspectives, and by encouraging academics to work on policy-relevant problems. Center scholars, and the students they helped educate, have served at senior levels in every administration since the Kennedy years. They are today among the nation's most distinguished analysts and executives in government and the private sector.
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