By Antoine Blua, RFE/RL
PRAGUE -- The European Union is hosting talks in
Prague aimed at establishing long-term energy and transport links with the
Middle East and Central Asia.
The "Southern Corridor" summit brings together leaders and ministers of the EU
and Azerbaijan, Georgia, Turkey, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, Kazakhstan, Egypt,
and Iraq.
All participants are either key suppliers of natural gas, crucial transit
countries, or both.
RFE/RL's Brussels correspondent Ahto Lobjakas says that for the first time, the
EU is giving its open backing to plans to build a trans-Caspian gas pipeline
from Turkmenistan to Azerbaijan.
This would allow Turkmenistan, Kazakhstan, and Uzbekistan to feed their gas
directly into the Nabucco gas pipeline.
Lobjakas notes that this is the first time that the EU has officially given
assurances to the Central Asian and South Caucasus countries that it will commit
"whatever political, economic, and financial resources are necessary to the
project of forging a direct link to the Caspian Sea." While this primarily
concerns gas reserves, it's "also about oil and transport."
Pipeline Network
In order to reduce reliance on gas supplies from Russia, the EU is pushing for
the construction of three new pipelines in the region, which would ultimately
bring natural gas from the Caspian Basin and from as far away as Iraq to Europe.
The three pipelines are Nabucco, running from the eastern border of Turkey to
Austria; White Stream, running from Georgia under the Black Sea to Romania; and
the Interconnector between Turkey and Greece and Italy (ITGY).
Combined, all three pipelines could supply up to 10 percent of the EU's total
gas need by 2020, or some 60 billion cubic meters. Russia currently provides the
EU with some 150 billion cubic meters annually, and that figure is not expected
to rise significantly.

path of Nabucco
gas pipeline
The EU will ask participants to work toward an
energy-transit treaty setting out the rules on how energy supplies should be
transported, how much transit countries should charge, and how the fees should
be shared.
The 27-member bloc will also ask energy producers to set aside specific volumes
of oil and gas for its use.
Lobjakas says that "EU officials said before the meeting that they were
expecting concrete commitments on the part of the Central Asian countries,
especially in terms of how many billion cubic meters of gas annually they would
set aside for European consumers."
The EU will press Turkey to agree the rules covering the Nabucco pipeline in a
bid to kick-start construction of the project.
EU Partnership
In return, the draft summit declaration says the EU should give commitments on
the amount of fuel it will buy, to ensure "transparency, competitiveness,
long-term predictability, and stable regulatory conditions."
And the EU should offer its partners the technology and investment they need to
upgrade their own energy systems.
Lobjakas says everything turns on political issues, namely to what extent the EU
can convince the Central Asian and South Caucasus states that they can safely
ignore Moscow's stiff resistance to the EU-backed pipeline projects bypassing
Russian territory.
"If the EU follows through, if the larger member states follow through,
especially if the trans-Caspian pipeline is built, linking the Central Asian
countries directly to projects such as Nabucco, then they will have a very real
option in the future, a very real choice, to delivering gas only via Russia," he
says.
"Now this doesn't mean that Russia will disappear from their radar screens, but
these countries will acquire a far more substantial political and economic
latitude in their decisions."
Russia has been invited to the Southern Corridor summit as an observer, along
with the United States and Ukraine. The summit's agenda fails to include any of
the Russian pipeline projects.
Two major regional players are missing -- Qatar and Iran. An EU official told
RFE/RL privately before the summit that Qatar, a major gas producer, has not
been invited "for the time being," but did not elaborate.
Another official told RFE/RL privately that Iran would be invited to participate
"when circumstances permit," an allusion to the country's internationally
controversial nuclear program.
Copyright (c) 2009 RFE/RL, Inc. Reprinted with the permission of Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty, 1201 Connecticut Ave., N.W. Washington DC 20036. www.rferl.org
... Payvand News - 05/08/09 ... --
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