Being in the Shot Does Iranians No Good
Diplomacy (August 23, 2009)
A few days to the end of G20 two-month deadline G20 for Iran to start nuclear
negotiations, West's frustration at Iran's response, EU and United States'
likely measures to pressurize Tehran, chances of Iranians sitting at the table
of negotiations with Washington and Tehran's goals have turned into analysts'
favorite topics. Iranian Diplomacy has interviewed Ahmad Shirzad, member of the
Sixth Parliament and foreign affairs analysts on the prospect of Iran's nuclear
Ahmad Shirzad believes
that for Ahmadinejad's administration propaganda is the priority in
negotiations with West.
With the recent political developments in Iran, how powerful is Tehran's
leverage when sitting at the table of negotiations with Five Plus One or the
Tehran's leverage has definitely become weaker. In fact, this is the least
appropriate time for Tehran to start talks with Washington. With the
post-election developments, the international face of Iranian establishment has
been damaged. But on the other hand, this is a historic and exceptional
opportunity which may be never repeated.
In fact, Obama's presidency and the opening he has provided for Iran may not be
repeated. Obama had put forward talks with Iran as one of his campaign slogans
and now he can not just withdraw his promise. Clearly White House wishes it
could take back the negotiations proposal under pressure from U.S. public
opinion, especially the Iranian expatriates. That would target all the blames
At any rate, with regard to national interests, this is the best opportunity for
Iranian statesmen, despite the public feeling inside the country about the
election episodes. We want the Iranian diplomats not to yield to U.S. pressure
during bargains because of the weak position Iran is now in.
With the United States turning towards all-out sanctions and EU's tendency to
join, do you think that West has lost hope for Iran's positive response to
Apparently, Westerns think that Iran will not enter the talks. Of course I
think the same. For the current Iranian administration, a favorable negotiation
is one that takes place between the conservatives in Iran -particularly
Ahmadinejad's team- and Obama's administration, not one between the two
political regimes. For Ahmadinejad and his team, it is of the utmost importance
to make a propaganda tool from every occasion. Unfortunately forgotten here are
the national interests. If the negotiations were viewed from that respect,
despite all the differences inside we would all welcome all-inclusive, serious,
high-level talks based on national interests.
What are the chances of nuclear talks between Iran and Five Plus One or
Washington? And what would Tehran's likely goals be?
The possibility is really low. And Ahmadinejad's administration merely wants
to use it as another propagandistic tool not as a solution to problems between
Iran and West. It seems that for this government, a photo is what truly counts.
That would benefit in a normal situation but not at the current circumstances.
West will definitely ask Ahmadinejad for a big compromise with that photo. It is
better not to take the photo but follow serious, beneficial and transparent
Iranian Diplomacy - Having been launched into operation
in Tehran since February 2007, Iranian Diplomacy is a web-based research and
analysis centre for international relations and foreign policy. Iranian
Diplomacy enjoys the collaboration and consultation of well-experienced and
well-informed Iranian specialists and pundits and tries to feed analysts,
researchers, decision makers, authorities and others interested in this
field with its scientific and research products aimed at supporting national
interests as well as global peace.
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