By Gary Thomas, VOA, Dearborn, Michigan
The United States and its allies have long contended that Iran is embarked on a
path to becoming a nuclear weapons power.
In an exclusive VOA interview, CIA Director Leon Panetta says that Iran is
acquiring nuclear knowledge and capability, but that there are differences among
the country's leaders about whether to actually build a bomb.
"Our view is and our intelligence is that while they are proceeding to develop a
nuclear capability in terms of power and low-grade uranium, that there is still
very much a debate going on within Iran as to whether or not they ought to
proceed further. To some extent that provides an opening, hopefully, to try to
influence the future direction of Iran," he said.
Panetta spoke to VOA before speaking at a dinner of the Arab-American community
in Dearborn, Michigan.
The Associated Press has reported that experts of the International Atomic
Energy Agency, or IAEA, believe Iran has already developed the capability to
build a nuclear weapon. However, the IAEA issued a statement in response that it
has no concrete proof that Iran is engaged in a nuclear weapons program.
Iran's June presidential election, in which incumbent President Mahmoud
Ahmadinejad was declared the winner, was marred by opposition allegations of
vote fraud. Thousands of protesters took to the streets, and the government
responded with a massive crackdown, arresting and putting on trial many
opposition supporters. The CIA chief says the political landscape in Iran is
still shifting and moving as a result.
"The fact is, we're probably still not sure of all the implications coming out
of this election," Panetta said. "One thing is for sure: that there continues to
be turmoil in Iran as the result of the election. While the Supreme Leader and
Ahmadinejad have consolidated their positions and seem to have control in Iran,
there continues to be the voices of opposition that are raised."
Panetta says the implications of the election for the United States are also
murky as the Obama administration seeks to engage with Iran.
"The end result of that is that it's still difficult to know whether or not it
means the leaders there will be more hardline and therefore more difficult to
engage in diplomatic relationships with the United States, or whether they view
what happened in the election as a signal to them to try to see if they can
establish a better relationship with the United States and with the rest of the
world," Panetta said.
On Thursday President Obama announced he was scrapping plans for a controversial
missile defense shield based in Eastern Europe and was ordering a new system
designed to intercept Iranian short and medium-range missiles. The previous plan
envisioned a greater threat from longer-range missiles. Analysts have said that
even if Iran did develop a nuclear weapon, they would still need to develop the
technology to deliver it.
The U.S. and five other countries - the so-called P5-plus-One - are set to begin
wide-ranging talks with Iran. CIA director Panetta says the U.S. will be closely
exploring in the coming few weeks whether a new relationship with Iran can work
after the recent turmoil there.
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... Payvand News - 09/18/09 ... --