Source: Tehran Times
Iranian Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif has said because of the bad approach of U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo, he finds no reason to answer the phone if he calls. "Pompeo makes sure that every time he talks about Iran, he insults me," Zarif said in a recent interview with Reuters. "Why should I even answer his phone call?"
Three years ago, when Iran's military captured 10 U.S. sailors after they
mistakenly strayed into Iranian waters, U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry and
Zarif jumped on the phone in minutes and worked out the sailors' release in
Could a similar crisis be so quickly resolved today?
"No," Zarif said in the interview. "How could it be averted?"
Zarif and Pompeo have never spoken directly, according to Iran's mission at the United Nations. They instead tend to communicate through name-calling on Twitter or through the media.
The open rancor between the nations' two top diplomats underscores growing concern that the lack of any established channel for direct negotiation makes a military confrontation more likely in the event of a misunderstanding or a mishap, according to current and former U.S. officials, foreign diplomats, U.S. lawmakers and foreign policy experts.
The Trump administration this month ordered the deployment of an aircraft carrier strike group, bombers and Patriot missiles to the Middle East, claiming intelligence about possible Iranian preparations to attack U.S. forces or interests.
"The danger of an accidental conflict seems to be increasing over each day," U.S. Senator Angus King, a political independent from Maine, told Reuters as he called for direct dialogue between the United States and Iran.
A senior European diplomat said it was vital for top U.S. and Iranian officials to be on "speaking terms" to prevent an incident from mushrooming into a crisis.
"I hope that there are some channels still existing so we don't sleepwalk into a situation that nobody wants," said the diplomat, speaking on condition of anonymity. "The rhetoric that we have is alarming."
State Department spokeswoman Morgan Ortagus declined to address how the administration would communicate with Iran in a crisis similar to the 2016 incident, but said: "When the time to talk comes, we are confident we will have every means to do so."
In 2016, Kerry and Zarif knew one another well from the complex negotiations to reach a 2015 pact on Iran's nuclear program.
Three years later, top-level diplomatic relations have all but disintegrated in the wake of the Trump administration's withdrawal from the nuclear pact, its tightening of sanctions on Iranian oil, and its recent move to designate part of Iran's military as a terrorist group.
U.S. military officials cite growing concern about Iran's development of precise missiles and its influence in the region.
In the absence of direct talks, Twitter has become a common forum for U.S. and Iranian officials to trade biting barbs. On Wednesday, an advisor to Iranian President Hassan Rouhani fired off a tweet at Pompeo castigating him for provoking Iran with military deployments.
"You @SecPompeo do not bring warships to our region and call it deterrence. That's called provocation," the advisor, Hesameddin Ashena, tweeted in English. "It compels Iran to illustrate its own deterrence, which you call provocation. You see the cycle?"
That followed a Trump tweet on Sunday threatening to "end" Iran if it sought a fight, and a long history of bitter insults against Zarif by Pompeo.
Pompeo in February called Zarif and Iran's president "front men for a corrupt religious mafia" in a tweet. That same month, another official at Pompeo's State Department tweeted: "How do you know @JZarif is lying? His lips are moving."
Zarif, in turn, has used the social media platform to condemn Pompeo and White House National Security Adviser John Bolton's "pure obsession with Iran," calling it "the behavior of persistently failing psychotic stalkers."
In a Tuesday briefing with reporters, Pompeo appeared to dismiss concerns about Washington's ability to communicate and negotiate with Iran.
"There are plenty of ways that we can have a communication channel," Pompeo said.
Diplomats say Oman, Switzerland and Iraq are nations with ties to both countries that could pass messages.
But indirect message-passing can be too cumbersome in a fast-moving crisis, said Kevin Donegan, a retired vice admiral who oversaw U.S. naval forces in the Middle East as commander of the Fifth Fleet when the U.S. sailors were captured by Iran.
Such dealings through intermediaries "require time and will not allow an opportunity to de-escalate a rapidly unfolding tactical situation," said Donegan, now a senior adviser at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, who added that he was not commenting on current U.S. policy.
Donegan said it would be helpful to have some kind of hotline between the U.S. and Iranian militaries, but Donegan and other experts were skeptical Iran would agree to such an arrangement.
On May 3 - after Washington allegedly became alarmed by intelligence indicating that Iran might be preparing for an attack on the United States or its interests - it sent messages to Iran via "a third party," one U.S. official said, speaking on condition of anonymity.
Joseph Votel, the now retired four-star general who oversaw U.S. troops in the Middle East until March, noted earlier this year that the U.S. military might be able to indirectly get a message to Iranian forces through an existing hotline with Russia meant to avoid accidental conflicts in Syria.
"The Iranians can talk to the Russians," he said. "We have a well-established professional communication channel with the Russians."
But the prospect of relying on the Russian government to get United States out of a crisis with Iran is hardly reassuring to many current and former officials in the United States.
"That would be a risky choice," said Wendy Sherman, an under secretary of state in the Obama administration.
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